Note: For per country details projections, and for methodology see main notebook

Note: Click a country name to open a search results page for that country’s COVID-19 news.

Based on data up to: 2021-07-19. Compared to (10 days before): 2021-07-09

Transmission rate:

⭕ Bad news: new waves 🇫🇷 🇸🇳 🇸🇬 🇹🇩 🇮🇹 🇲🇷 🇬🇭 🇦🇹 🇮🇪 🇹🇬 🇩🇪 🇨🇭 🇷🇸 🇻🇳 🇷🇴 🇱🇹 🇷🇼 🇵🇱

Large increase in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a relapse, new wave, worsening outbreak.

  • Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
  • Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
  • "Large increase" = at least +2%.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇫🇷 France 23.7% 11.7% 38,669 8.42 25.9%
🇸🇳 Senegal 12.7% 4.1% 102,361 0.18 5.8%
🇸🇬 Singapore 12.0% 3.6% 393 0.03 1.1%
🇹🇩 Chad 10.4% 3.2% 194 0.00 1.2%
🇮🇹 Italy 9.7% 4.5% 24,280 0.57 21.3%
🇲🇷 Mauritania 6.1% 2.0% 10,894 0.11 7.7%
🇬🇭 Ghana 10.7% 6.7% 703 0.01 1.6%
🇦🇹 Austria 7.4% 3.6% 1,338 0.21 13.0%
🇮🇪 Ireland 9.6% 5.9% 4,797 0.70 17.9%
🇹🇬 Togo 8.0% 4.4% 2,331 0.04 1.6%
🇩🇪 Germany 6.7% 3.6% 12,123 0.25 10.2%
🇨🇭 Switzerland 8.3% 5.3% 2,179 0.30 14.1%
🇷🇸 Serbia 8.4% 5.4% 2,675 0.27 11.9%
🇻🇳 Vietnam 13.4% 10.7% 55,410 0.20 0.2%
🇷🇴 Romania 9.0% 6.3% 10,356 0.55 21.7%
🇱🇹 Lithuania 4.5% 1.9% 325 0.35 17.4%
🇷🇼 Rwanda 10.1% 7.8% 83,029 0.81 4.9%
🇵🇱 Poland 5.0% 2.9% 3,390 0.19 27.2%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: slowing waves 🇱🇧 🇱🇸 🇲🇲 🇱🇾 🇿🇼 🇬🇲 🇹🇳 🇯🇲 🇨🇩 🇲🇹 🇬🇹 🇨🇾 🇱🇺 🇭🇹 🇿🇦 🇸🇻 🇲🇿 🇬🇷 🇸🇦 🇧🇩 🇱🇦 🇺🇬 🇦🇿

Large decrease in transmission rate vs. 10 days ago, that might mean a slowing down / effective control measures.

  • Countries are sorted by size of change in transmission rate.
  • Includes only countries that were previously active (more than 100 estimated new cases).
  • "Large decrease" = at least -2%.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇱🇧 Lebanon 2.2% 11.5% 1,730 0.54 35.6%
🇱🇸 Lesotho 6.3% 15.4% 122 0.27 8.4%
🇲🇲 Burma 10.5% 16.9% 429,626 1.83 5.7%
🇱🇾 Libya 6.6% 12.9% 10,352 0.61 27.5%
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe 7.0% 13.3% 229,555 3.74 17.8%
🇬🇲 Gambia 10.9% 17.0% 9,312 0.42 8.7%
🇹🇳 Tunisia 8.9% 14.4% 213,935 17.43 53.0%
🇯🇲 Jamaica 3.0% 8.1% 222 0.58 8.0%
🇨🇩 Congo (Kinshasa) 2.9% 8.0% 1,145 0.02 0.7%
🇲🇹 Malta 11.9% 16.3% 782 1.63 13.2%
🇬🇹 Guatemala 6.5% 10.8% 80,768 2.54 32.1%
🇨🇾 Cyprus 7.2% 11.1% 3,795 2.95 7.7%
🇱🇺 Luxembourg 6.4% 10.3% 695 0.82 17.7%
🇭🇹 Haiti 1.0% 4.7% 1,919 0.09 1.8%
🇿🇦 South Africa 9.4% 13.0% 488,479 5.25 62.7%
🇸🇻 El Salvador 2.1% 5.7% 1,997 0.50 10.4%
🇲🇿 Mozambique 10.6% 14.1% 98,424 0.37 3.5%
🇬🇷 Greece 6.2% 9.0% 15,081 3.15 12.5%
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 2.3% 5.0% 9,498 0.35 13.1%
🇧🇩 Bangladesh 6.2% 8.8% 500,367 1.29 5.9%
🇱🇦 Laos 9.3% 11.8% 448 0.01 0.1%
🇺🇬 Uganda 4.8% 7.0% 96,356 0.37 3.2%
🇦🇿 Azerbaijan 2.6% 4.8% 785 0.10 19.1%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

ICU need:

⭕ Bad news: higher ICU need 🇫🇷 🇧🇼 🇫🇯 🇹🇳 🇳🇱 🇲🇹 🇨🇺 🇮🇩 🇿🇼 🇲🇲 🇬🇪 🇬🇧 🇨🇾 🇪🇸 🇲🇾 🇬🇷 🇲🇽 🇵🇹 🇮🇷 🇺🇸 🇷🇺 🇹🇭 🇧🇸 🇧🇩 🇷🇼 🇲🇼 🇬🇲 🇩🇰 🇬🇹 🇱🇾 🇲🇿 🇮🇪 🇲🇦 🇰🇭 🇱🇸 🇧🇦

Large increases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only countries for which the ICU need increased by more than 0.2 (per 100k).
Current:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 10 days ago:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇫🇷 France 8.42 0.88 38,669 23.7% 25.9%
🇧🇼 Botswana 7.53 3.83 68,124 12.0% 38.9%
🇫🇯 Fiji 4.05 1.98 14,088 10.3% 7.0%
🇹🇳 Tunisia 17.43 15.66 213,935 8.9% 53.0%
🇳🇱 Netherlands 2.45 0.80 41,683 10.5% 18.3%
🇲🇹 Malta 1.63 0.24 782 11.9% 13.2%
🇨🇺 Cuba 3.30 1.91 38,276 7.7% 3.3%
🇮🇩 Indonesia 3.74 2.39 2,622,873 8.1% 14.8%
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe 3.74 2.51 229,555 7.0% 17.8%
🇲🇲 Burma 1.83 0.60 429,626 10.5% 5.7%
🇬🇪 Georgia 5.09 3.90 18,865 7.7% 23.9%
🇬🇧 United Kingdom 3.19 2.03 194,651 10.0% 26.9%
🇨🇾 Cyprus 2.95 1.79 3,795 7.2% 7.7%
🇪🇸 Spain 2.76 1.62 92,688 9.4% 25.7%
🇲🇾 Malaysia 3.05 2.06 237,973 7.9% 8.2%
🇬🇷 Greece 3.15 2.16 15,081 6.2% 12.5%
🇲🇽 Mexico 4.22 3.46 821,795 17.0% 67.4%
🇵🇹 Portugal 2.06 1.52 12,340 7.3% 17.2%
🇮🇷 Iran 2.76 2.23 486,875 11.9% 52.9%
🇺🇸 US 1.26 0.80 493,445 11.6% 32.7%
🇷🇺 Russia 5.42 5.00 591,997 5.8% 16.9%
🇹🇭 Thailand 1.05 0.67 95,153 7.5% 1.1%
🇧🇸 Bahamas 2.12 1.75 2,139 8.0% 25.3%
🇧🇩 Bangladesh 1.29 0.94 500,367 6.2% 5.9%
🇷🇼 Rwanda 0.81 0.48 83,029 10.1% 4.9%
🇲🇼 Malawi 0.38 0.06 86,969 15.4% 8.4%
🇬🇲 Gambia 0.42 0.12 9,312 10.9% 8.7%
🇩🇰 Denmark 0.80 0.52 3,519 7.0% 7.3%
🇬🇹 Guatemala 2.54 2.27 80,768 6.5% 32.1%
🇱🇾 Libya 0.61 0.35 10,352 6.6% 27.5%
🇲🇿 Mozambique 0.37 0.12 98,424 10.6% 3.5%
🇮🇪 Ireland 0.70 0.46 4,797 9.6% 17.9%
🇲🇦 Morocco 0.36 0.13 41,605 11.1% 9.9%
Eswatini 0.47 0.24 550 19.2% 39.5%
🇰🇭 Cambodia 0.89 0.67 47,545 6.4% 3.2%
🇱🇸 Lesotho 0.27 0.07 122 6.3% 8.4%
🇧🇦 Bosnia 0.74 0.53 1,209 6.9% 39.5%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: lower ICU need 🇺🇾 🇨🇴 🇧🇷 🇵🇾 🇴🇲 🇳🇦 🇸🇷 🇦🇷 🇭🇳 🇨🇱 🇧🇴 🇲🇳 🇧🇭 🇿🇦 🇹🇹 🇨🇷 🇲🇻 🇱🇻 🇦🇫 🇿🇲 🇪🇨 🇦🇲 🇳🇵 🇸🇰 🇲🇩 🇭🇺 🇨🇻 🇱🇷 🇩🇴 🇸🇪 🇵🇸

Large decreases in need for ICU beds per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only countries for which the ICU need decreased by more than 0.1 (per 100k).
Current:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 10 days ago:
Estimated
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇺🇾 Uruguay 4.07 6.93 2,406 1.6% 25.9%
🇨🇴 Colombia 10.20 12.51 481,112 13.1% 74.9%
🇧🇷 Brazil 6.16 7.89 936,197 14.3% 78.5%
🇵🇾 Paraguay 7.79 9.44 63,478 10.5% 69.8%
🇴🇲 Oman 3.25 4.59 0 1.4% 48.1%
🇳🇦 Namibia 12.65 13.92 81,375 10.1% 66.5%
🇸🇷 Suriname 7.03 8.25 5,131 6.0% 37.5%
🇦🇷 Argentina 6.96 7.98 228,779 7.5% 52.2%
🇭🇳 Honduras 2.21 3.04 0 1.7% 39.5%
🇨🇱 Chile 2.50 3.30 26,236 4.5% 36.1%
🇧🇴 Bolivia 3.24 4.03 34,117 5.9% 47.5%
🇲🇳 Mongolia 2.83 3.61 12,291 3.2% 15.6%
🇧🇭 Bahrain 1.00 1.63 2,163 3.4% 49.2%
🇿🇦 South Africa 5.25 5.76 488,479 9.4% 62.7%
🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago 4.27 4.66 6,114 5.3% 16.7%
🇨🇷 Costa Rica 2.93 3.30 12,448 5.1% 25.4%
🇲🇻 Maldives 0.85 1.18 704 4.1% 24.9%
🇱🇻 Latvia 0.46 0.74 143 1.7% 15.9%
🇦🇫 Afghanistan 1.39 1.65 185,555 4.2% 15.7%
🇿🇲 Zambia 1.79 2.04 111,094 4.0% 19.1%
🇪🇨 Ecuador 1.83 2.07 36,965 6.9% 46.5%
🇦🇲 Armenia 0.75 0.95 573 4.9% 29.1%
🇳🇵 Nepal 1.03 1.23 48,937 4.5% 20.2%
🇸🇰 Slovakia 0.32 0.52 104 1.2% 27.5%
🇲🇩 Moldova 0.28 0.45 241 1.6% 35.2%
🇭🇺 Hungary 0.34 0.49 1,201 4.9% 40.8%
🇨🇻 Cabo Verde 0.73 0.88 558 4.5% 24.4%
🇱🇷 Liberia 0.31 0.46 2,020 1.8% 2.4%
🇩🇴 Dominican Republic 0.37 0.50 2,805 2.6% 13.2%
🇸🇪 Sweden 0.25 0.37 364 2.4% 24.3%
🇵🇸 West Bank and Gaza 0.13 0.25 257 1.2% 57.8%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

New cases and deaths:

⭕ Bad news: new first significant outbreaks

Countries that have started their first significant outbreak (crossed 1000 total reported cases or 20 deaths) vs. 10 days ago.

Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

🟢 Good news: no new cases or deaths 🇨🇫

New countries with no new cases or deaths vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Estimated
total
cases		 Total
reported
deaths		 Date
of last
reported case		 Date
of last
reported death
🇨🇫 CAR (Africa) 97,438 98 2021-07-08 2021-05-28

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

Mixed news: no new deaths, only new cases 🇲🇹 🇳🇴 🇸🇬 🇨🇳 🇦🇱 🇲🇰 🇳🇪 🇳🇿 🇩🇯 🇹🇩 🇸🇸

New countries with no new deaths (only new cases) vs. 10 days ago.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths and had an active outbreak previously.
Current:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 10 days ago:
Estimated
daily
transmission
rate		 Estimated
recent cases
in last 5 days		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇲🇹 Malta 11.9% 16.3% 782 1.63 13.2%
🇳🇴 Norway 4.1% 4.6% 658 0.21 2.9%
🇸🇬 Singapore 12.0% 3.6% 393 0.03 1.1%
🇨🇳 China 6.1% 5.5% 162 0.00 0.1%
🇦🇱 Albania 6.7% 3.3% 68 0.02 15.6%
🇲🇰 North Macedonia 0.8% 11.2% 65 0.40 47.4%
🇳🇪 Niger 7.6% 6.6% 1,379 0.01 0.9%
🇳🇿 New Zealand 6.7% 2.8% 28 0.01 0.1%
🇩🇯 Djibouti 3.1% 3.5% 39 0.02 9.1%
🇹🇩 Chad 10.4% 3.2% 194 0.00 1.2%
🇸🇸 South Sudan 0.0% 3.8% 0 0.00 0.9%

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

No news: continously inactive countries 🇮🇸 🇹🇿

Countries that had no new cases or deaths 10 days ago or now.

  • Only considering countries that had at least 1000 estimated total cases and at least 10 total deaths.
  • Caveat:these countries may have stopped reporting data like Tanzania.
Estimated
total
cases		 Total
reported
deaths		 Date
of last
reported case		 Date
of last
reported death
🇮🇸 Iceland 6,555 29 2021-05-20 2020-12-29
🇹🇿 Tanzania 21,802 21 2020-05-08 2020-05-08

Tip: Click country name in legend to switch countries. Use mouse wheel to zoom Y axis.

Deaths burden:

⭕ Bad news: higher death burden 🇫🇯 🇧🇼 🇨🇺 🇲🇲 🇱🇾 🇲🇼 🇲🇿 🇲🇦 🇻🇳

Countries with significantly higher recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • "Significantly higher" = 100% more.
  • Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Current:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 10 days ago:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 New
reported deaths
since 10
days ago		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇫🇯 Fiji 4.36 2.01 62 4.1 7.0%
🇧🇼 Botswana 2.30 0.60 126 7.5 38.9%
🇨🇺 Cuba 2.12 0.70 515 3.3 3.3%
🇲🇲 Burma 1.72 0.41 1596 1.8 5.7%
🇱🇾 Libya 0.73 0.28 67 0.6 27.5%
🇲🇼 Malawi 0.27 0.10 118 0.4 8.4%
🇲🇿 Mozambique 0.26 0.11 191 0.4 3.5%
🇲🇦 Morocco 0.13 0.06 115 0.4 9.9%
🇻🇳 Vietnam 0.13 0.02 224 0.2 0.2%

🟢 Good news: lower death burden 🇺🇾 🇮🇳 🇩🇪 🇮🇹 🇵🇱

Countries with significantly lower recent death burden per 100k population vs. 10 days ago.

  • "Significantly lower" = 50% less
  • Only considering countries that had at least 10 recent deaths in both timeframes, and death burden of at least 0.1 per 100k.
Current:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 10 days ago:
5 day
death
burden
per 100k		 New
reported deaths
since 10
days ago		 Estimated
current
ICU need
per 100k
population		 Estimated
total
affected
population
percentage
🇺🇾 Uruguay 0.69 2.27 99 4.1 25.9%
🇮🇳 India 0.11 0.28 6963 0.5 12.8%
🇩🇪 Germany 0.07 0.20 172 0.3 10.2%
🇮🇹 Italy 0.06 0.13 118 0.6 21.3%
🇵🇱 Poland 0.06 0.18 63 0.2 27.2%

Extras:

Future model projections plots

For countries in any of the above groups. To see more details and methodology go to main notebook

Tip: Choose country from the drop-down below the graph.